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THE ASEAN’S 5PC IMPASSE: Why Benchmarks and Benchmarks Alone Cannot Force...

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The recent diplomatic maneuvers by ASEAN, including the proposal for a permanent Special Envoy and the development of specific compliance benchmarks, represent a critical...

THE FEAR OF 2015: Why the Junta Resists Real Peace Talks

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The diplomatic opening and the shadow of the past cast a long shadow in today's Myanmar political arena, especially where the military junta is...

THE GAMBLE FOR LEGITIMACY: Min Aung Hlaing’s Realpolitik Playbook in ASEAN...

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The July 2026 diplomatic maneuvers surrounding Myanmar’s military regime mark a decisive shift from defensive isolation to an aggressive, albeit risky, offensive for international...

THE FRACTURED CONSENSUS: How Myanmar’s Rejection and ASEAN’s Schism Threaten the...

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The diplomatic landscape surrounding the Myanmar crisis has reached a volatile inflection point, characterized by a dangerous convergence of false legitimacy, internal betrayal, and...

THE UNWINNABLE GAME: Why the Myanmar Junta Cannot Buy Legitimacy

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On July 3, 2026, General Min Aung Hlaing arrived in Vientiane for a state visit that marked a calculated turning point in his diplomatic...

CHINA’S SILENT HAND: How Pressure on TNLA Has Shattered Myanmar’s Anti-Junta...

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Very recently, the Myanmar military-dominated regime of General Min Aung Hlaing told the Ta'ang (Palaung) National Liberation Army (TNLA) to withdraw from four captured...

THE ROSE GARDEN TRUCE: How Trump and Xi Bought Time, Not...

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When President Trump and President Xi met in Beijing this week, the world held its breath. Would the summit end in a handshake or...

ASEAN’S PROMISE AND LIMITS: Can It Deliver?

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ASEAN—the Association of Southeast Asian Nations—is often described as a success story of regional cooperation. It brings together eleven countries with vastly different cultures,...

BEIJING’S PARADOX: Why Propping Up the Junta is Costing China Its...

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In the high-stakes chess game of Southeast Asian geopolitics, the People’s Republic of China has long held the position that stability in Myanmar is...

JUNTA DIVERSIFIES TACTICS: Lobbying neutral parties, engaging political groups, and releasing...

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After the 77th Independence Day anniversary, the junta or State Administration Council (SAC) moves seems to be diversifying, rather than just the 2025 November...

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