BEIJING’S PARADOX: Why Propping Up the Junta is Costing China Its Stability
In the high-stakes chess game of Southeast Asian geopolitics, the People’s Republic of China has long held the position that stability in Myanmar is...
THE PRICE OF IMPUNITY: How Universal Jurisdiction is Breaking Myanmar’s Military Regime
East Timor or Timor-Leste has become the first ASEAN nation to advance the prosecution of Myanmar’s military leadership, formally transferring a case against self-proclaimed...
THE GILDED CAGE: Min Aung Hlaing’s Calculated Move on Aung San Suu Kyi
Min Aung Hlaing’s decision to transfer Aung San Suu Kyi from a prison cell to a minister’s residence is not an act of mercy;...
CHINA’S CALCULATED EMBRACE: China’s Foreign Minister Visit’s Impact on Myanmar
When China's foreign minister meets Min Aung Hlaing in Naypyidaw on April 25-26, the visit will function as practical legitimization for a regime the...
RESTORING LEGITIMACY: Unity and Strategy After U Win Myint’s Release
When U Win Myint was released, reactions across Myanmar and the international community were swift and varied. For some, the move signaled a pragmatic...
TNLA ABOUT-FACE: Survival Strategy or Political Betrayal?
On April 15, the Palaung State Liberation Front (PSLF) and its armed wing, the Ta’ang National Liberation Army (TNLA) issued a statement welcoming Senior...
MYANMAR’S POLITICAL LANDSCAPE: No Short Path to a Durable Peace
Senior General Min Aung Hlaing, the military leader who seized power in 2021, was sworn in as self appointed president at the junta’s Union...
TUG OF WAR: SCEF Rises to Counter Myanmar Military’s Attempt to Rebrand Rule as Civilian
The Steering Council for the Emergence of a Federal Democratic Union's (SCEF) formation marks a decisive escalation in Myanmar’s resistance landscape, uniting heavyweight political...
FROM FRAGMENTATION TO STRATEGY: Rebuilding the Anti Junta Coalition
Why unity, clear objectives, and synchronized action are essential to defeat the junta and restore democracy. On March 30, General Min Aung Hlaing is set...
JUNTA LEADER SURGERY: Political Signaling in the Run up to March 30
The military’s public disclosure of Senior General Min Aung Hlaing’s emergency operation appears calibrated to control the narrative, reassure stakeholders, and deter internal challengers...
