Academic: Military pullout from politics when ‘hell freezes over’

A Malaysian-based Burmese academic, speaking at the Chiangmai University’s Faculty of Social Sciences, on Wednesday (2 September), told his audience he didn’t think Burma’s military was in a hurry to leave the country’s political stage.

Dr Myint Zan
Dr Myint Zan

“No way,” Dr Myint Zan said in response to a student’s query. “But I hope we don’t have to wait until hell freezes over.”

The professor of the Faculty of Law, Multimedia University, from Melaka (Malacca) who finished his doctorate in Australia, was giving a lecture under the heading “A (Past-Oriented?) Glimpse of Some Aspects of Burma/ Myanmar Ethnic Conflicts.”

He nevertheless was “cautiously optimistic” about the ongoing democratic transition in his home country.

Touching on the well-known ethnic call for federalism that had prompted the late Gen Ne Win to take over the whole country under military rule on 2 March 1962, he recalled what the dilapidated former dictator told his colleague U Chit Hlaing on 27 July 1995.

“Had I known (the standard Buddhist teaching on) Anicca (Impermanence), Dukkha (suffering) and Anatta (Non-self), I wouldn’t have done what I had done in 1962.”

The other speaker was Dr. Nehginpao Kipgen, Policy and Research Consultant for Chiangmai-based Ethnic Nationalities Affairs Center (ENAC) and Editor and General Secretary of Washington-based Kuki International Forum, who spoke under the heading ‘Ethnic Minorities and Peace Process in Myanmar.” He is a regular contributor to Thailand’s Bangkok Post.

Dr. Nehginpao Kipgen
Dr. Nehginpao Kipgen

He was frank when asked by a listener about the Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (NCA) which was finalized on 7 August and published in government-run media on 18 August, which marked the 4th anniversary of President Thein Sein’s call for peace talks in 2011.

“I’m not sure whether it will be signed before the (November) elections.”

The ethnic armed organizations (EAOs) 5 top leaders are scheduled to meet the President and the Commander-in-Chief on 9 September in Naypyitaw in an effort to clear what is considered the last stumbling block in their negotiations: all-inclusive signing or selected signing. The EAOs are for the former and the government for the latter.

Leave a Comments

promotion

SHAN Membership

฿ 19฿ 169 /mo
  • ၶဝ်ႈႁူမ်ႈ ႁဵၼ်းဢဝ်ၵၢၼ်ၶၢဝ်ႇ၊ ရေႊတီႊဢူဝ်ႊ၊ ထႆႇႁၢင်ႈ၊ Blogger, Vlog ထႆႇဝီႊတီႊဢူဝ်ႊ တတ်းတေႃႇ ႁဵတ်းဢွၵ်ႇ ပိုၼ်ၽႄႈ
  • ၶဝ်ႈႁူမ်ႈၵၢၼ်တူင်ႉၼိုင်ၸုမ်းၶၢဝ်ႇၽူႈတွႆႇႁွၵ်ႈ ၼႂ်းၶၵ်ႉၵၢၼ်ပူၵ်းပွင်ၵၢၼ်သိုဝ်ႇ
  • ၶဝ်ႈႁူမ်ႈပၢင်လႅၵ်ႈလၢႆႈပိုၼ်ႉႁူႉပၢႆးႁၼ် ဢၼ်ၸုမ်းၶၢဝ်ႇၽူႈတွႆႇႁွၵ်ႈၸတ်းႁဵတ်း
  • ၶဝ်ႈႁူမ်ႈပၢင်ဢုပ်ႇဢူဝ်းတွင်ႈထၢမ် ၵဵဝ်ႇၵပ်းငဝ်းလၢႆးၵၢၼ်မိူင်း၊ ၵၢၼ်မၢၵ်ႈမီး၊ ပၢႆးမွၼ်း လႄႈ ႁူဝ်ၶေႃႈ ဢၼ်ၶႂ်ႈႁူႉၶႂ်ႈငိၼ်း။
  • လႆႈႁပ်ႉဢၢၼ်ႇ ၶၢဝ်ႇၶိုၵ်ႉတွၼ်း ပိူင်ပဵၼ်ဝူင်ႈလႂ်ဝူင်ႈ ၼၼ်ႉ။

Related article

Latest article

A checkpoint at Hsipaw Bridge, which has remained closed to vehicular traffic since November 2025

Hsipaw-Lashio Bridge Remains Closed as Junta Blockade Continues

0
The bridge linking the towns of Hsipaw and Lashio has remained closed by Myanmar's military junta for nearly eight months, forcing residents to rely...
President Thongloun Sisoulith (left) welcomes Myanmar junta chief Min Aung Hlaing during his visit to Laos Photo Vientiane Times

THE UNWINNABLE GAME: Why the Myanmar Junta Cannot Buy Legitimacy

0
On July 3, 2026, General Min Aung Hlaing arrived in Vientiane for a state visit that marked a calculated turning point in his diplomatic...
Arakan Lottery (Arakkha Laung Paw)1

THE RAKHINE EQUATION: How India, China, and Bangladesh Are Redefining Myanmar’s Future

0
The Arakan Army has reached a defining inflection point. What began as an ethnic insurgency for autonomy has evolved into a state-building project with...
Farmers harvest rice in the Pong Inn area of southern Shan State Photo SHAN

Rice Price Collapse Pushes Pong Inn Farmers Deeper into Debt

0
Farmers in the Pong Inn area of southern Shan State are facing a deepening financial crisis as falling rice prices leave many unable to...
Myanmar military junta chief Senior Gen Min Aung Hlaing

A DICTATOR’S MASQUERADE: Why the Junta Has No Exit and Min Aung Hlaing’s “Peace...

0
On the afternoon of June 26, at the Presidential Palace in Naypyitaw, Myanmar junta leader General Min Aung Hlaing addressed the Central Committee for...