Commentary on “First constitutional change bid in four years kicks off in parliament”

Sai Wansai
Sai Wansai
Amending section 436(a) in order to lower the Tatmadaw veto power of 25% will be next to impossible, as any crucial constitutional amendment law needs more than 75% of parliamentary representatives. Thus, the unelected 25% Tatmadaw representatives for the parliament could block any amendment proposal.
 
Since NLD spokesperson, U Aung Shin said section 436(a) amendment will be successful against all odds and the party had devised a strategy to negotiate the hurdles without exactly mentioning it, we could only speculate.
 
One will be to propose the elected Tatmadaw MPs stay out from voting process through simple majority parliamentary procedure. In other words, a proposal of Tatmadaw unelected MPs’ voting rights be revoked through parliamentary procedure, where only 51% vote is needed to become law. If this is done, only the elected MPs will be eligible to vote for section 436(a) amendment, which will sail through with ease as NLD has the majority vote, even without the 11% ethnic political parties vote.
 
If this fails, another approach will be to ask for referendum on whether the people like or dislike the military-drafted constitution. This proposal can circumvent section 12 constitutional amendment and pull through the parliament with simple majority voting procedure, which will pass through with ease.
 
Other than that, no one knows for sure what the NLD has up its sleeve, we only have to wait and see
 

Leave a Comments

promotion

SHAN Membership

฿ 19฿ 169 /mo
  • ၶဝ်ႈႁူမ်ႈ ႁဵၼ်းဢဝ်ၵၢၼ်ၶၢဝ်ႇ၊ ရေႊတီႊဢူဝ်ႊ၊ ထႆႇႁၢင်ႈ၊ Blogger, Vlog ထႆႇဝီႊတီႊဢူဝ်ႊ တတ်းတေႃႇ ႁဵတ်းဢွၵ်ႇ ပိုၼ်ၽႄႈ
  • ၶဝ်ႈႁူမ်ႈၵၢၼ်တူင်ႉၼိုင်ၸုမ်းၶၢဝ်ႇၽူႈတွႆႇႁွၵ်ႈ ၼႂ်းၶၵ်ႉၵၢၼ်ပူၵ်းပွင်ၵၢၼ်သိုဝ်ႇ
  • ၶဝ်ႈႁူမ်ႈပၢင်လႅၵ်ႈလၢႆႈပိုၼ်ႉႁူႉပၢႆးႁၼ် ဢၼ်ၸုမ်းၶၢဝ်ႇၽူႈတွႆႇႁွၵ်ႈၸတ်းႁဵတ်း
  • ၶဝ်ႈႁူမ်ႈပၢင်ဢုပ်ႇဢူဝ်းတွင်ႈထၢမ် ၵဵဝ်ႇၵပ်းငဝ်းလၢႆးၵၢၼ်မိူင်း၊ ၵၢၼ်မၢၵ်ႈမီး၊ ပၢႆးမွၼ်း လႄႈ ႁူဝ်ၶေႃႈ ဢၼ်ၶႂ်ႈႁူႉၶႂ်ႈငိၼ်း။
  • လႆႈႁပ်ႉဢၢၼ်ႇ ၶၢဝ်ႇၶိုၵ်ႉတွၼ်း ပိူင်ပဵၼ်ဝူင်ႈလႂ်ဝူင်ႈ ၼၼ်ႉ။

Related article

Latest article

Min Zin, director of the Myanmar Institute for Strategy and Policy (ISP Myanmar) (Photo Courtesy)

SILENCING THE SCHOLAR: The Strategic Message Behind China’s Arrest of U Min Zin

0
Beijing’s detention of U Min Zin is not merely a legal maneuver; it is a calculated warning to the entire ecosystem of independent analysis...
Villagers affected by land confiscations gather in Hopong Township, southern Shan State, to protest the seizure of their land and homes (Photo Supplied)

Land Seizure Victims in Hopong Face New Fees to Destroy Former Homes

0
Residents of Nyaung Bat Village in Hopong Township say they are facing a final indignity in an ongoing land confiscation campaign: being forced by...
Damage caused by the warehouse explosion in Kawng Tap Village, Namkham Township (Photo Supplied)

Deadly Namkham Warehouse Blast Sparks Calls for Accountability

0
Residents of Namkham Township are demanding accountability from the Ta'ang National Liberation Army (TNLA) and the Chinese government following a massive explosion at a...
Peter Bar in Taunggyi, southern Shan State, where the incident leading to the death of 16 year old

Teenage Bar Worker Dies in Taunggyi, Sparking Calls for Justice

0
The death of a 16-year-old girl at a bar in Taunggyi has sparked renewed concern over child labor, workplace abuse, and the lack of...
Shanni delegates (Photo Courtesy)

THE SHANNI DILEMMA: Survival, Alliances, and the Struggle for Self-Determination

0
On the morning of May 4, the National Unity and Peacemaking Coordinating Committee (NSPNC) and the Shanni Nationalities Army (SNA), together with Shanni Nationalities...