Tuesday, January 27, 2026

Commentary on “First constitutional change bid in four years kicks off in parliament”

Sai Wansai
Sai Wansai
Amending section 436(a) in order to lower the Tatmadaw veto power of 25% will be next to impossible, as any crucial constitutional amendment law needs more than 75% of parliamentary representatives. Thus, the unelected 25% Tatmadaw representatives for the parliament could block any amendment proposal.
 
Since NLD spokesperson, U Aung Shin said section 436(a) amendment will be successful against all odds and the party had devised a strategy to negotiate the hurdles without exactly mentioning it, we could only speculate.
 
One will be to propose the elected Tatmadaw MPs stay out from voting process through simple majority parliamentary procedure. In other words, a proposal of Tatmadaw unelected MPs’ voting rights be revoked through parliamentary procedure, where only 51% vote is needed to become law. If this is done, only the elected MPs will be eligible to vote for section 436(a) amendment, which will sail through with ease as NLD has the majority vote, even without the 11% ethnic political parties vote.
 
If this fails, another approach will be to ask for referendum on whether the people like or dislike the military-drafted constitution. This proposal can circumvent section 12 constitutional amendment and pull through the parliament with simple majority voting procedure, which will pass through with ease.
 
Other than that, no one knows for sure what the NLD has up its sleeve, we only have to wait and see
 

Leave a Comments

promotion

SHAN Membership

฿ 19฿ 169 /mo
  • ၶဝ်ႈႁူမ်ႈ ႁဵၼ်းဢဝ်ၵၢၼ်ၶၢဝ်ႇ၊ ရေႊတီႊဢူဝ်ႊ၊ ထႆႇႁၢင်ႈ၊ Blogger, Vlog ထႆႇဝီႊတီႊဢူဝ်ႊ တတ်းတေႃႇ ႁဵတ်းဢွၵ်ႇ ပိုၼ်ၽႄႈ
  • ၶဝ်ႈႁူမ်ႈၵၢၼ်တူင်ႉၼိုင်ၸုမ်းၶၢဝ်ႇၽူႈတွႆႇႁွၵ်ႈ ၼႂ်းၶၵ်ႉၵၢၼ်ပူၵ်းပွင်ၵၢၼ်သိုဝ်ႇ
  • ၶဝ်ႈႁူမ်ႈပၢင်လႅၵ်ႈလၢႆႈပိုၼ်ႉႁူႉပၢႆးႁၼ် ဢၼ်ၸုမ်းၶၢဝ်ႇၽူႈတွႆႇႁွၵ်ႈၸတ်းႁဵတ်း
  • ၶဝ်ႈႁူမ်ႈပၢင်ဢုပ်ႇဢူဝ်းတွင်ႈထၢမ် ၵဵဝ်ႇၵပ်းငဝ်းလၢႆးၵၢၼ်မိူင်း၊ ၵၢၼ်မၢၵ်ႈမီး၊ ပၢႆးမွၼ်း လႄႈ ႁူဝ်ၶေႃႈ ဢၼ်ၶႂ်ႈႁူႉၶႂ်ႈငိၼ်း။
  • လႆႈႁပ်ႉဢၢၼ်ႇ ၶၢဝ်ႇၶိုၵ်ႉတွၼ်း ပိူင်ပဵၼ်ဝူင်ႈလႂ်ဝူင်ႈ ၼၼ်ႉ။

Related article

Latest article

A checkpoint at the entrance to Ywangan Township

Village Administrator Abducted and Killed in Ywangan Amid Rising Targeted Violence

0
A hundred-household head was abducted and killed in Myay Ni Kone Village, part of Ahle Chaung village tract in Ywangan Township, southern Shan State,...
Recruits during military training

Administrators Accused of Paying Brokers for Substitute Conscripts as Youth Flee Shan State

0
Local administrators in several Shan State townships are allegedly working with brokers to secure substitute recruits for Military Service Batch (21), residents say, as...
UWSA and allied militia groups in Mong Ket

UWSA Recruitment Orders Drive Displacement in Northern Shan

0
The United Wa State Army (UWSA) is facing accusations of forcibly recruiting young men for military training in Mong Ket village tract, northern Shan...
A Kokang (MNDAA) member checks a driver’s documents at a checkpoint in Northern Shan State

MNDAA Imposes ID and Vehicle License Requirements in Northern Shan State

0
The Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA), also known as the Kokang Army, has tightened movement controls along the Hsenwi–Kunlong–Chinshwehaw highway in Northern Shan...
PNOPNA members during a training session in Southern Shan State

Money and Manpower: Southern Shan Residents Crushed by Dual Conscription Demands

0
Residents in Southern Shan State report mounting mental and physical exhaustion as communities continue to shoulder monthly military service fees and recruitment demands following...